Minnerva was asked to advise one of the Rolling Stock Leasing
Companies on the value of its rolling stock assets, and the future
profitability of its major Train Operating Company customers.
A major concern was the potential impact of the post-Hatfield downturn
in UK rail industry performance, and other developments in the
timing and scope of expected infrastructure enhancement.
a spreadsheet-based forecasting model structured to replicate
the key features of the business planning tools used when the
relevant contracts were first made, allowing alternative scenarios
to be tested and enabling senior management to be informed of the
range of possible outcomes.